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A PLS Based Approach to Cointegration Analysis


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Title: A PLS Based Approach to Cointegration Analysis

Authors: Nelson Muriel Nelson Muriel, Graciela González-Farías Graciela González-Farías, Rogelio Ramos

Journal: Journal of Business & Economics

HEC Recognition History
Category From To
Y 2023-07-01 2024-09-30
Y 2021-07-01 2022-06-30

Publisher: Air University Islamabad

Country: Pakistan

Year: 2012

Volume: 4

Issue: 2

Language: English

Keywords: Cointegration AnalysisPartial least squaresnon-stationarityAsymptotics

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Abstract

This paper addresses the testing for cointegrating vectors and the estimationof cointegrating relations using Partial Least Squares. Together with Harris(1997) and Bossaerts (1988), the PLS approach relies on a method ofmultivariate statistics and thus does not require identifying restrictions onthe cointegrating vectors or of a full specification of the short-run dynamicsof the process. The PLS estimator for the cointegrating vectors is found to besuper consistent and robust to heavy-tailed innovations. A test is provided forthe rank of cointegration which is assessed by means of Monte Carlosimulation. A brief application to Mexican inflation data is also provided.


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