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Title: A PLS Based Approach to Cointegration Analysis
Authors: Nelson Muriel Nelson Muriel, Graciela González-Farías Graciela González-Farías, Rogelio Ramos
Journal: Journal of Business & Economics
Publisher: Air University Islamabad
Country: Pakistan
Year: 2012
Volume: 4
Issue: 2
Language: English
Keywords: Cointegration AnalysisPartial least squaresnon-stationarityAsymptotics
This paper addresses the testing for cointegrating vectors and the estimationof cointegrating relations using Partial Least Squares. Together with Harris(1997) and Bossaerts (1988), the PLS approach relies on a method ofmultivariate statistics and thus does not require identifying restrictions onthe cointegrating vectors or of a full specification of the short-run dynamicsof the process. The PLS estimator for the cointegrating vectors is found to besuper consistent and robust to heavy-tailed innovations. A test is provided forthe rank of cointegration which is assessed by means of Monte Carlosimulation. A brief application to Mexican inflation data is also provided.
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