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Very short-term load forecasting of peak load time using Fuzzy type-2 and big bang big crunch (BBBC) algorithm


Article Information

Title: Very short-term load forecasting of peak load time using Fuzzy type-2 and big bang big crunch (BBBC) algorithm

Authors: Jamaaluddin Jamaaluddin, Imam Robandi, Izza Anshory, Ahmad Fudholi

Journal: ARPN Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences

HEC Recognition History
Category From To
Y 2023-07-01 2024-09-30
Y 2022-07-01 2023-06-30
Y 2021-07-01 2022-06-30
X 2020-07-01 2021-06-30

Publisher: Khyber Medical College, Peshawar

Country: Pakistan

Year: 2020

Volume: 15

Issue: 7

Language: English

Categories

Abstract

Very short-term energy forecasting is done on a day before the day of operation. Forecasting of short-term load is done every 30 minutes of forecasting hours. Very short-term load forecasting is carried out continuing forecasting short-term load with daily intervals, load on a given day or weekly load to be more detailed with very short-term load forecasting. This weight forecasting is done to improve operational effectiveness and efficiency. Forecasting short-term loads have been done using artificial intelligence, nowadays artificial intelligence is attempted to predict a very short term load. In this study, investigated the use of the Fuzzy type-2 (FT-2) and big bang big crunch (BBBC) algorithm for the very short-term load forecasting. Results shows that with the use of FT-2-BBBC, it will get a small error because it uses low computation cost and high convergent speed. In addition, FT-2 also optimizes the foot of uncertainty of the Fuzzy type-1. The results are in the use of FT-2-BBBC hence the very short term load forecasting error value of 0.7278%. This suggests that FT-2-BBBC can be used to perform electrical load forecasting and other forecasting.


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