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A Time-Series Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Using an Ensemble Learning Model


Article Information

Title: A Time-Series Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Using an Ensemble Learning Model

Authors: Kishmala Tariq, Muhammad Hassan Ghulam Muhammad, Sadia Abbas Shah, Gulzar Ahmad, Muhammad Asif Saleem, Nadia Tabassum

Journal: International Journal for Electronic Crime Investigation

HEC Recognition History
Category From To
Y 2024-10-01 2025-12-31

Publisher: Lahore Garrison University, Lahore

Country: Pakistan

Year: 2025

Volume: 9

Issue: 1

Language: en

DOI: 10.54692/ijeci.2025.0901/241

Keywords: CryptocurrencyRNNLSTMMSERMSERandom Forest RegressorGaussian Regression Process

Categories

Abstract

Due to the high volatility in the cryptocurrency market, it is quite challenging to predict the price accurately; therefore, there is a great need for strong prediction models. In this paper, we propose a time-series cryptocurrency trend prediction framework based on a machine learning ensemble learning approach, which combines several machine learning models to achieve higher accuracy and generalisation. Historical prices (including the open, high, low, close, and trading volume) were preprocessed and input into a hybrid LSTM-GBM-RFs ensemble model. The ensemble model combines the merits of individual learners while mitigating their weaknesses through weighted averaging. Through experimental results on Bitcoin and Ethereum datasets, we demonstrate that the ensemble of models outperforms the individual models in terms of MAE and RMSE. This study demonstrates the potential of data fusion for modelling the temporal properties of cryptocurrency time series, paving the way for the further development of real-time decision-making recommendation systems.
 


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