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Title: Decision Confidence and the Endowment Effect: A Case Study Among Undergraduate Students in the University of Malakand (Pakistan)
Authors: Muhammad Yaseen, Yasir Hussain
Journal: Journal of Asian Development Studies
Publisher: Centre for Research on Poverty and Attitude pvt ltd
Country: Pakistan
Year: 2025
Volume: 14
Issue: 3
Language: en
DOI: 10.62345/jads.2025.14.3.5
Keywords: Willingness to payBehavioural Economics Endowment EffectDecision ConfidenceWillingness to Accept
Behavioural economics combines psychology with economics, demonstrating how cognitive biases influence decision-making beyond the realm of rational choice theory. One of the most robust is the Endowment Effect, where individuals value owned items more than identical non-owned items. This study examines the influence of decision confidence on ownership, valuation, and exchange behaviour among undergraduate students in Pakistan. A quasi-experimental design was employed, with 112 students randomly assigned to receive either a book or a ceramic mug. Data on willingness-to-accept (WTA), willingness-to-pay (WTP), exchange decisions, and decision confidence were collected through structured questionnaires. Results revealed that a large majority (81%) reported high confidence in their decisions (p = .001), supporting Hypothesis 1. Confidence was also linked to greater reluctance to exchange items, indicating that it reinforced decisiveness in ownership choices. However, Hypothesis 2 was not supported, as confidence did not significantly influence monetary valuations (r < .12, p > .39). These findings suggest that while confidence drives rigidity in ownership decisions, it does not inflate economic value. The study contributes to behavioural economics by highlighting confidence as a factor that strengthens decisiveness rather than valuation, and by providing evidence from a non-Western context, offering insights relevant for educators, policymakers, and marketers.
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